Big 12: Iowa State vs Oklahoma 10/29/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Iowa State Cyclones and Oklahoma Sooners do battle Saturday in week 9 Big 12 college football action at Jack Trice Stadium. The Oklahoma Sooners look for a win after splitting their last 6 games. The Iowa State Cyclones look to snap a 4-game losing streak.

The Oklahoma Sooners have split their last 6 road games. Dillon Gabriel is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,618 yards, 13 touchdowns and 1 interception. Marvin Mims and Brayden Willis have combined for 854 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Theo Wease has 15 receptions. The Oklahoma Sooners ground game is averaging 222.6 yards per contest, and Eric Gray leads the way with 695 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma is allowing 31 points and 447.1 yards per game. Danny Stutsman leads the Oklahoma Sooners with 62 tackles, Reggie Grimes has 4 sacks and C.J. Coldon has 2 interceptions.

The Iowa State Cyclones have won 7 of their last 10 home games. Hunter Dekkers is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 1,843 yards, 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel have combined for 1,136 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Dimitri Stanley has 19 receptions. The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 101.7 yards per contest, and Jirehl Brock leads the way with 398 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 15.1 points and 289.7 yards per game. Gerry Vaughn leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 39 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 3.5 sacks and Colby Reeder has 2 interceptions.

The Sooners are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Cyclones are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games in October. The over is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 conference games. The under is 6-2 in Cyclones last 8 games overall. The Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The Oklahoma Sooners are the more talented team and should be favored, but I’m just not excited to back them on the road in the favorite role with how spotty their defense is. Yes, the Iowa State Cyclones are going through a rough patch, and it’s hard to find confidence in them right now, but we also know they’re better than this stretch indicates, and their defense gives them a fighting chance every time they take the field. With extra time to prepare and home field, I’ll give Iowa State a chance, mainly because I don’t trust the Sooners defense.