Indiana Hoosiers (8-0) vs. Michigan State Spartans (4-4)
November 2, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan State Spartans +8 / Indiana Hoosiers -8; Over/Under: +51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Michigan State vs Indiana prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans are 4-4 (2-3) this year after they lost to Michigan by a score of 24-17 in their last game. Michigan State led 7-0 late in the first half, but they allowed nine points in the final 29 seconds of the half and never got the lead back in the loss. The Spartans outgained Michigan by a total of 352-265, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 8-15 on third down in the game. Aidan Chiles threw for 189 yards and one touchdown, while Nate Carter rushed for 118 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, Michigan State defeated Iowa by a score of 32-20 but did lose to Oregon, Ohio State, and Boston College before that. The MSU offense has scored 21 points per game with 227.9 passing yards and 137 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.3 points per game this season. The Spartans have gone 42.6% on third down and 5-8 on fourth down so far this season. Aidan Chiles has completed 61% of his passes for 1,657 yards, seven touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Nick Marsh has caught 28 passes for 475 yards and two scores.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
The Indiana Hoosiers are 8-0 (5-0) this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 31-17 in their last game. Indiana led 17-7 at halftime, but their lead was cut to 17-14 before they pulled away in the fourth. The Hoosiers were outgained by a total of 318-312, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 8-15 on third down in the game. Tayven Jackson threw for 124 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Justice Ellison rushed for 123 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Hoosiers defeated Nebraska, Northwestern, Maryland, Charlotte, UCLA, WIU, and FIU to start the season undefeated. The Indiana offense has scored 46.5 points per game with 287 passing yards and 200.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 14.1 points per game this season. The Hoosiers have gone 54% on third down and 8-15 on fourth down through eight games. Kurtis Rourke is questionable with an injury, so it could be Tayven Jackson under center once again, while Justice Ellison has rushed for 637 yards and nine scores this year.
Why Michigan State will cover
- Indiana has lost six of its last seven road games in November.
- Michigan State has won five of its last six November games at Spartan Stadium.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of Indiana’s last five games.
- Indiana has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Indiana’s last nine road games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Michigan State’s last six November games at Spartan Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan State ranks T130th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.0).
- Michigan State ranks 129th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (70.0).
- Indiana ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Indiana ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+10.1).
Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction
Indiana comes into this matchup with an undefeated record so far this season and they may get Kurtis Rourke back for this game, which would be a huge boost. The Hoosiers were able to get the win last week without him, but they barely got over 300 total yards. Michigan State is coming off of a disappointing loss to Michigan in their last game, but they were the better team for most of that game. The Spartans have been very competitive this season and they are headed in the right direction. I think Michigan State can keep this game close and maybe even get the win. Chiles did a better job of protecting the football last week and Indiana really hasn’t played in even a remotely difficult road game. Take Michigan State with the points.
