Ohio vs Sacramento State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/17/26

In this article, we will formulate an Ohio vs Sacramento State Prediction for this College Football Week 7 matchup on Saturday, October 17^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

Sacramento State has a 1-5 record and a 0-3 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 10-38 road loss against Bowling Green and will face Ball State and Kent State next.

Offensively, Sacramento State averages 16.3 points per game, ranking 130th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 30.2 points per game, which is 118th. Sacramento State averages 308.7 total yards per game (204.3 passing and 104.3 rushing), while allowing 347.8 total yards per game (161.3 rushing and 186.5 passing).

Jackson Sharman leads Sacramento State with 1,001 passing yards with 55.9% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Isaiah Ene leads the team in rushing yards with 187, while Matthew Coleman has a team-high 454 receiving yards and 32 receptions. Defensively, Boogsie Silvera has a team-high 42 total tackles (17 of them solo), while Fata Puloka leads the team with 1.5 sacks.

Ohio Bobcats Preview

Ohio has a 4-2 record and a 2-0 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 31-14 home win against Central Michigan and will face Eastern Michigan and Akron next.

Offensively, Ohio averages 27.5 points per game, ranking 79th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.7 points per game, which is 78th. Ohio averages 355.3 total yards per game (158 passing and 197.3 rushing), while allowing 348.8 total yards per game (140.7 rushing and 208.2 passing).

Matt Vezza leads Ohio with 439 passing yards with 69.0% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Victor Rosa leads the team in rushing yards with 289, while Riley Neer has a team-high 397 receiving yards and 27 receptions. Defensively, Michael Molnar has a team-high 50 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Isaac Ackerman leads the team with 4.5 sacks.

Ohio Bobcats @ Sacramento State Hornets Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

• Ohio has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games in October.
• The home team has covered the spread in five of Sacramento State’s last six games.
• The home team has won the first half in three of Ohio’s last four games.
• The home team has won the first quarter in three of Ohio’s last four games.

Why the Ohio Bobcats will win

• Ohio has won 23 of its last 24 games as a favorite.
• Sacramento State has lost each of its last four games.
• Sacramento State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog.
• The favorite has won the first half in each of Sacramento State’s last six games.
• Ohio has won the first quarter in five of its last six games in October.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Ohio’s last eight October games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of Sacramento State’s last four games in California have gone UNDER the total points line.

Sacramento State Hornets Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Carson Conklin has the most pass attempts without a passing touchdown this season (46).

Ohio Bobcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, DJ Hamilton ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for kick return yards (372) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Sacramento State ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (15.2).
• Sacramento State ranks 137th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-9.2).
• Ohio ranks 128th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (158.0).
• Ohio ranks T12th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (51.2).

Ohio vs Sacramento State Prediction

In this Ohio vs Sacramento State prediction, Ohio is coming as -14.5 road favorites. Sacramento State has been terrible this season with just one win in six games played and is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games, while having the 9^th-worst offense in the entire country and a -13.9 point differential. On the  flip side, Ohio has won three straight, having allowed just 31 points combined in those three games and having scored 31+ points in two of those three. Take Ohio to win this one comfortably and cover the -14.5 spread.