College Football

Texas vs Kentucky Prediction 10/18/25 College Football Picks Today

Texas vs Kentucky
October 18, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas -12.5 / Over/Under: 42.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas vs Kentucky Prediction for this College Football Week 8 game on Saturday, October 18th at Kroger Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Kentucky Wildcats Preview

Kentucky has a 2-3-0 record this season and is sitting 16th in the SEC. They are 1-4-0 ATS, 4-1-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-1-0 home record and a 0-2-0 away record. Kentucky is coming off a 14-35 road loss against Georgia and will face Tennessee, Auburn and Florida next.

Offensively, Kentucky averages 24.4 points per game, ranking 94th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.8 points per game, which is 96th. Kentucky averages 331.6 total yards per game (172.2 passing and 159.4 rushing), while allowing 402.2 total yards per game (153.6 rushing and 248.6 passing).

Cutter Boley leads Kentucky with 627 passing yards with 57.1% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Seth McGowan leads the team in rushing yards with 431, while Kendrick Law has a team-high 19 receptions for 174 receiving yards. Defensively, Alex Afari Jr. has a team-high 37 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Mi’Quise Humphrey-Grace leads the team in sacks, with 2.0, and Ty Bryant has a team-high two interceptions.

Texas Longhorns Preview

Texas has a 4-2-0 record this season and is sitting 7th in the SEC. They are 2-4-0 ATS, 2-4-0 in Over/Under and have a 3-0-0 home record and a 0-2-0 away record. Texas is coming off a 23-6 neutral site win against Oklahoma and will face Mississippi State, Vanderbilt and Georgia next.

Offensively, Texas averages 28.5 points per game, ranking 72nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 11 points per game, which is 3rd. Texas averages 399.7 total yards per game (233.2 passing and 166.5 rushing), while allowing 259.8 total yards per game (74.3 rushing and 185.5 passing).

Arch Manning leads Texas with 1,317 passing yards with 63.0% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Tre Wisner leads the team in rushing yards with 185, while DeAndre Moore Jr. has a team-high 17 receptions for 240 receiving yards. Defensively, Michael Taaffe has a team-high 41 total tackles (23 of them solo), while Colin Simmons leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, and Jelani McDonald and Malik Muhammad are tied for the team-high with two interceptions.

Texas vs Kentucky Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Texas won 31-14 at home, but failed to cover the spread as the game went under the total.

In this Texas vs Kentucky Prediction, Texas is coming as -12.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 42.5 points. Texas has been in better form, with a 4-1 record in its last 5 games, while on the other hand, Kentucky is 1-3 in its last 4. The Longhorns have the third-best defense in the country, and I expect them to lock down this game and get away with the comfortable road win. Take Texas and lay the -12.5 points in this one.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Texas -12.5

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