North Texas Mean Green (2-2) vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-1)
October 1, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tulsa Golden Hurricane -1.5 / North Texas Mean Green +1.5; Over/Under: 57.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Texas Mean Green and Tulsa Golden Hurricane meet Thursday in week 5 college football action at H. A. Chapman Stadium. Here’s a Tulsa vs. North Texas Prediction. This article will include a Tulsa vs. North Texas Pick.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green lost to Texas State, beat Houston Christian, and they play Charlotte next. North Texas has won 14 of its last 16 games. Tayven Jackson is completing 74.2 percent of his passes for 1,187 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Corri Milliner and Justin Stevenson have combined for 557 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Josiah Martin has 11 receptions.
The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 174 yards per contest, and Jahiem White leads the way with 363 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 30.3 points and 377.3 yards per game. CJ Coombes leads the North Texas Mean Green with 34 tackles, David Onuoha has 2 sacks, and Bryce Garza has 1 interception.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Preview
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane beat East Texas A&M, lost to Arkansas, and they play Navy next. Tulsa has won 5 of its last 7 games. Baylor Hayes is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 353 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Oran Singleton Jr. and Jimmy Calloway have combined for 325 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Javon Ross has 12 receptions.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 181.5 yards per contest, and Damari Alston leads the way with 213 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 15.3 points and 367 yards per game. Chris Thompson Jr. leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 35 tackles, Thomas Davis has 4 sacks, and Zach Williams has 1 interception.
Why the Tulsa Golden Hurricane will win
- The home team has won each of North Texas’ last four games.
- North Texas has lost eight of its last nine games as an underdog.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of Tulsa’s last four games.
- The home team has won the first quarter in each of North Texas’ last four games.
- The home team has won the first half in each of Tulsa’s last 11 games.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Tulsa has lost each of its last six home games against conference opponents.
- North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last eight October games as a road underdog.
- Tulsa has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a favorite.
- Tulsa has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games in October.
- North Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last five October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Texas’ last seven games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Tulsa’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Thomas Davis ranks T10th amongst FBS players for sacks (4.0) this season.
North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Jahiem White ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for touchdowns (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tulsa ranks 137th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (57.1).
- Tulsa ranks 5th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (64.3).
- North Texas ranks 6th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (107).
- North Texas ranks 7th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (342.0).
Tulsa vs North Texas Prediction
North Texas is one of the best passing teams in the country and can score in bunches, but it doesn’t play much defense. North Texas is 99th in total defense, 102nd against the run, and 117th in scoring defense. Tulsa has had success scoring against lesser competition, but its pass defense is 124th in the country. North Texas should have a field day racking up points, but Tulsa should be able to move the ball as well. This feels like a fun high-scoring game on Thursday night. I’ll take the over.
