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UAB vs Connecticut Prediction 11/1/25 College Football Picks Today

UAB vs Connecticut
November 1, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Connecticut -11.5 / Over/Under: 64
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a UAB vs Connecticut Prediction for this College Football Week 10 game on Saturday, November 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Connecticut Huskies Preview

Connecticut has a 5-3 record this season. They are 3-3 ATS, 6-2 in Over/Under and have a 3-0 home record and a 2-3 away record. Connecticut is coming off a 34-37 road loss against Rice and will face Duke, Air Force and Florida Atlantic next.

Offensively, Connecticut averages 36.8 points per game, ranking 20th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.5 points per game, which is 73rd. Connecticut averages 465.8 total yards per game (303.4 passing and 162.4 rushing), while allowing 394.1 total yards per game (177.6 rushing and 216.5 passing).

Joe Fagnano leads Connecticut with 2,262 passing yards with 67.9% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Camryn Edwards leads the team in rushing yards with 753, while Skyler Bell has a team-high 66 receptions for 845 receiving yards. Defensively, Byrun Parham has a team-high 76 total tackles (39 of them solo), while Byrun Parham leads the team in sacks, with 8.5. Cam Chadwick, Lee Molette III, D’Mon Brinson, Amir Renwick and Aaron Key lead the team with one interception each.

UAB Blazers Preview

UAB has a 3-4 record this season and is sitting 11th in the American. They are 3-4 ATS, 5-2 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-3 away record. UAB is coming off a 31-24 home win against Memphis and will face Rice, North Texas and South Florida next.

Offensively, UAB averages 29.7 points per game, ranking 60th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 38.9 points per game, which is 133rd. UAB averages 415.6 total yards per game (293.0 passing and 122.6 rushing), while allowing 438.1 total yards per game (199.7 rushing and 238.4 passing).

Jalen Kitna leads UAB with 1,776 passing yards with 69.1% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Jevon Jackson leads the team in rushing yards with 442, while Iverson Hooks has a team-high 41 receptions for 560 receiving yards. Defensively, Devin Hightower has a team-high 47 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Chris Burge leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, and Pierre Royster leads the team with 2 interceptions.

UAB Blazers @ Connecticut Huskies Betting Trends: Week 10

 

Why the Connecticut Huskies will win

  • UAB has lost each of its last 15 road games.
  • The favorite has won each of Connecticut’s last 14 games at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field.
  • UAB has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games in November.
  • Connecticut has covered the spread in five of its last six home games in November.
  • Connecticut has won the first half in each of its last four home games against non-conference opponents.
  • Connecticut has won the first quarter in each of its last four home games against non-conference opponents.

Why the UAB Blazers will win

  • Connecticut has lost 23 of its last 28 games against opponents from the American Conference.
  • Connecticut has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against opponents from the American Conference.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in seven of UAB’s last nine games.
  • Connecticut has lost the first half in 15 of its last 19 home games against opponents from the American Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Connecticut’s last eight games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of UAB’s last eight games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts

  • Joe Fagnano has recorded 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 10.

UAB Blazers Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 10, Solomon Beebe ranks 5th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (428) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Connecticut has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
  • Connecticut has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
  • UAB has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
  • UAB ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (12.4).

UAB vs Connecticut Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Connecticut won 31-23 on the road.

In this UAB vs Connecticut Prediction, Connecticut is coming as -11.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 64 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup in opposite trajectories, as Connecticut is 4-1 in its last 5 games and has been perfect at home, while on the other hand, UAB is 1-3 in its last 4 and winless on the road. The Huskies have the 20th-best offense in the country and are going up against the fourth-worst defense of UAB, so I am expecting a blowout today. Take Connecticut and lay the -11.5 points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Connecticut -11.5

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