San Diego Padres (29-17) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (23-23)
May 24, 2021 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -135 / San Diego Padres +125; Over/Under: -9.5
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The San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action at American Family Field.
The San Diego Padres look to build on their nine-game winning streak. The Padres have scored 31 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Padres have won 10 straight games when scoring four or more runs. Jake Cronenworth leads the Padres with 54 hits and 17 RBI while Eric Hosmer and Trent Grisham have combined for 85 hits and 39 RBI. Blake Snell gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 3.79 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. This will be Snell’s first career game against the Brewers.
The Milwaukee Brewers need a win after losing six of their last nine games. The Brewers have scored 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last six games. The Brewers have won five of their last seven games when scoring four or more runs. Avisail Garcia leads the Brewers with 36 hits and 24 RBI while Kolten Wong and Omar Narvaez have combined for 67 hits and 21 RBI. Brandon Woodruff gets the ball, and he is 2-2 with a 1.58 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. Woodruff is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.
The Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series and 19-7 in their last 26 overall. The Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 Monday games and 2-6 in their last 8 overall. The over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 overall. The over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a favorite. The Padres are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
I understand why the Milwaukee Brewers would be favored at home here, as they have one of the better pitchers in the NL on the mound in Brandon Woodruff. However, we’re getting plus money with the San Diego Padres, the hottest team in baseball right now and not a club you should be eager to bet against. I don’t care if the Brewers were throwing out Nolan Ryan, I’m not leaving plus money with the Padres on the table.