Milwaukee Brewers (51-35) vs. New York Mets (44-37)
July 7, 2021 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets / Milwaukee Brewers ; Over/Under: -
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The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets meet Wednesday in game one of an MLB doubleheader at Citi Field. The Brewers look for a win after winning 13 of their last 16 games. The Mets look for a win after splitting their last eight games.
The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. The Brewers have won 11 straight games when scoring four or more runs. Avisail Garcia leads the Brewers with 66 hits and 51 RBI while Luis Urias and Omar Narvaez have combined for 122 hits and 65 RBI. Corbin Burnes gets the ball, and he is 4-4 with a 2.41 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. This will be Burnes’ second career game against the Mets.
The New York Mets have scored 16 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Mets have won six of their last seven games when scoring four or more runs. Dominic Smith leads the Mets with 67 hits and 36 RBI while Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have combined for 127 hits and 74 RBI. Jacob deGrom gets the ball, and he is 7-2 with a 0.95 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. deGrom is 3-3 with a 4.80 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games and 27-10 in their last 37 overall. The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games and 19-7 in their last 26 home games. The under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 Wednesday games. The under is 21-8-1 in Mets last 30 home games. The Brewers are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in New York and 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
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The Brewers are so hot that it’s hard to step in front of them and Burnes has been more than solid this season. There’s no shame in backing the Brew Crew here. However, the Mets are throwing out deGrom in this contest, a pitcher who has allowed nine earned runs through 85 innings and has 136 strikeouts. deGrom is having one of the best seasons in baseball history. I’m not stepping in front of that. Give me the Mets and the RL for max betting value.