MLB

MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals – June 29, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals - June 29, 2022
2022-06-29 19:45:00 EDT

The Miami Marlins (33-40) face the St. Louis Cardinals (43-34) at Busch Stadium on Wednesday at 7:45pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Andre Pallante is the probable pitcher for the Cardinals. The Cardinals opened as favorites but this has since changed, with the Marlins coming into -130 and Cardinals drifting to +110. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Marlins (+140) have a 36-37 Run Line record this season, while the Cardinals (-165) hold a record of 43-34.
  • The Marlins have a 37-34-2 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total runs line, 34 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Cardinals have a 40-34-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Cardinals are averaging +0.4 more at 4.8 runs (5th).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (17th in the league), while the Cardinals are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (6th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .244 (ranking 14th in the Major Leagues), while the Cardinals are batting .255 (5th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Cardinals have hit 82 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 80 (14th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 303 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Cardinals have recorded 352 RBIs to rank 2nd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Cardinals have an earned run average of 3.77 this season (10th in the Majors), while the Marlins have an ERA of 3.98 (17th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 638 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cardinals rank 25th for total strikeouts, recording 563.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .242 against the Cardinals this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins’ opponents are at .239 (14th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 9-23-41 6-10-19 3-13-22 6-15-32 3-8-9 0-0-0 1-3-6
  • Cardinals 24-17-36 16-4-19 8-13-17 16-10-27 8-7-9 0-0-0 5-0-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 23-32-18 12-14-9 11-18-9 17-25-11 6-7-7 0-0-0 2-4-4
  • Cardinals 32-30-15 20-16-3 12-14-12 22-19-12 10-11-3 0-0-0 5-3-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 37-36 in Marlins games this season. The Cardinals have a 33-44 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Cardinals recorded a 5-3 victory over the Marlins at Busch Stadium yesterday. Dylan Carlson went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Cardinals have now won five straight at Busch Stadium against the Marlins.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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