MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox – July 4, 2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (43-36) face the Boston Red Sox (44-35) at Fenway Park on Monday at 1:35pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jalen Beeks is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -136, while the Rays are at +115. The total runs line is set at 10.5, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115.

• The Rays (-165) have a 36-43 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (+140) hold a record of 44-35.
• The Rays have a 37-37-5 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total runs line, 37 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 31-40-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Rays are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging +0.6 more at 4.7 runs (7th).
• In the field, the Rays are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (5th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (9th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

• Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major Leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .260 (2nd).

Home Runs

• In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 74 (T21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 76 (T19th).

Runs Batted In

• Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 308 RBIs to rank 23rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 359 RBIs to rank 9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

• The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.62 this season (6th in the Majors), while the Rays have an ERA of 3.31 (4th).

Strikeouts

• Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 682 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 677.

Opponent Batting Average

• Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Red Sox this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays’ opponents are at .225 (5th).

First Innings Moneyline

• Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
• Rays 19-18-42 10-10-22 9-8-20 13-12-26 6-6-16 0-0-0 3-1-6
• Red Sox 20-13-46 8-7-21 12-6-25 14-10-32 6-3-14 0-0-0 1-4-5

Lead After Three Innings

• Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
• Rays 30-21-28 16-10-16 14-11-12 18-12-21 12-9-7 0-0-0 2-3-4
• Red Sox 32-24-23 13-13-10 19-11-13 22-18-16 10-6-7 0-0-0 4-4-1

NRFI/YRFI

• The NRFI is 41-38 in Rays games this season. The Red Sox have a 43-36 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 5-2 victory over the Red Sox at Tropicana Field when these teams last met on April 24. Yandy Diaz went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.