MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies – August 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies - August 5, 2022
2022-08-05 19:05:00 EDT

The Washington Nationals (36-71) face the Philadelphia Phillies (57-48) at Citizens Bank Park on Friday at 7:05pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Josiah Gray is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Kyle Gibson is the probable pitcher for the Phillies. The Phillies are favored to win at -205, while the Nationals are at +175. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Nationals (-110) have a 45-62 Run Line record this season, while the Phillies (-110) hold a record of 55-50.
  • The Nationals have a 51-52-4 O/U record this season (meaning 51 games have gone over the total runs line, 52 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Phillies have a 53-46-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 3.8 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Phillies are averaging +0.8 more at 4.6 runs (8th).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.4 runs per game this season (30th in the league), while the Phillies are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (10th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .248 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Phillies are batting .247 (12th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Phillies are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 134 to rank 6th. Alternatively, the Nationals are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 84 (T28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 390 RBIs to rank T24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Phillies have recorded 465 RBIs to rank 9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.84 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 5.17 (30th).


  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 829 this season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Phillies rank 8th for total strikeouts, recording 925.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Phillies this season (13th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals’ opponents are at .268 (29th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Nationals 26-29-52 12-13-32 14-16-20 5-2-8 21-27-44 0-0-0 2-1-7
  • Phillies 25-20-60 15-11-26 10-9-34 19-10-35 6-10-25 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Nationals 28-58-21 12-31-14 16-27-7 6-8-1 22-50-20 0-0-0 1-7-2
  • Phillies 41-33-31 25-12-15 16-21-16 33-13-18 8-20-13 0-0-0 3-3-4


  • The NRFI is 49-58 in Nationals games this season. The Phillies have a 59-46 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Phillies recorded an upset 5-4 victory over the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park yesterday. Rhys Hoskins was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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