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Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 4-14-24 Picks

St. Louis Cardinals (7-7) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (6-8)
April 14, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -145 / St. Louis Cardinals +133; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action from Chase Field. Here’s a Cardinals vs Diamondbacks prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

  • The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Recent betting trends in games played between the Cardinals and Diamondbacks
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cardinals vs Diamondbacks game

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The Cardinals played the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. St. Louis managed just one win in three games during that set. On Friday versus the Diamondbacks, the Cards posted a 9-6 win. In the Saturday game two, St. Louis out-hit Arizona 11-6 but ended up with a loss 4-2. Starter Kyle Gibson put up 6.0 innings with four earned on six hits and three walks.

In the starting pitcher role for the Cardinals on Sunday it’ll be Miles Mikolas. This year in three starts Mikolas is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 12 Ks in 17.0 innings. Mikolas is 55-54 with a 3.95 ERA in 181 games (153 starts).

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over on the Diamondbacks’ side, they played the Colorado Rockies this week. After a 7-5 loss in the opener, Arizona took wins 3-2 and 5-3 to take the series. In the Saturday game two matchup versus St. Louis, the Diamondbacks got three RBI from Lourdes Gurriel. Starter Ryne Nelson put up 6.0 innings with one earned on seven hits and a walk.

Zac Gallen will be the starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks on Sunday. Over three starts so far Gallen is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 16.0 frames. Gallen is 41-31 with a 3.19 ERA in 118 career starts.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Cardinals and Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

  • The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have led after 7 innings in five of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Cardinals have won the first inning in four of their last six games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Diamondbacks. This one’s a coin flip, though. Gallen was choppy at times in his last start (5.0 innings; three earned) so he’ll need a more consistent effort here. Gallen had just one earned over 11.0 innings to start the year, though. As for Mikolas, he’s given up four earned in the last 12.2 innings and is pitching pretty well overall.

On Saturday Arizona was able to limit the damage on defense, withstanding 11 Cardinals hits. The Diamondbacks pen had one earned run in 3.0 innings; that was enough for a game two victory. If the Arizona bats can keep it up they’ll be in good shape for the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -145

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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