NY Mets (0-1) vs. Houston Astros (1-0)
March 28, 2025 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -142 / NY Mets +120; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and the Houston Astros meet on Friday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Astros vs Mets Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Tylor Megill for the start in this one, and Megill was 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA and 91 strikeouts last season. In his career, Megill is 0-0 with a 9.39 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Houston. Hunter Brown will get the nod for the Astros here and was 11-9 with a 3.49 ERA and 179 strikeouts last season. This will be Brown’s second career start against the Mets.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets will be out to bounce back after starting the series and the season with a 3-1 loss to Houston on Thursday. After Saturday’s series finale, the Mets will head on the road for another series against the Miami Marlins.
Mets Looking To Wake Up The Bats In Game Two
Francisco Lindor’s 9th inning sac fly RBI accounted for the lone run for the Mets in the loss, while Luis Torrens added a double. Juan Soto, Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, Starling Marte, and Tyrone Taylor each had a base hit as well in the losing effort. As a team, the Mets combined for 7 strikeouts and went 0 for 6 with runners in scoring position. Clay Holmes took the loss, falling to 0-1 on the year after allowing all three runs, two earned, on five hits with four walks and four strikeouts over 4.2 innings of work.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Astros’ last five games.
- The Astros have lost three of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Astros’ last nine games.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against AL West opponents.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tylor Megill has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Pete Alonso ranks T7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.750) this season.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros will try to push for a series win out of the gate after starting the set with their victory over the Mets on Thursday. After this series, the Astros will meet the Giants, Twins, and Mariners.
Astros Trying To Build A Strong Start To The Year
Jake Meyers went 2 for 4 at the dish with an RBI, while Yainer Diaz added an RBI as well in the victory. Jose Altuve, Christian Walker, Jeremy Pena, and Cam Smith all had base hits as well in the win as none of Houston’s seven hits went for extra bases in the winning effort, and the Astros as a unit went just 1 for 8 with runners in scoring position. Framber Valdez got the win after throwing seven innings of four-hit shutout baseball with four strikeouts. Josh Hader managed to close out the 9th despite giving up a run for his first save of the campaign.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last 10 games against the Astros following a road loss.
- The Astros have won each of their last eight home games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Astros following a road loss.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight home games against the Mets following a win.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jake Meyers has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Christian Walker has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Mets.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Astros’ last eight games as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded a Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Astros as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with the Astros as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Astros vs Mets Prediction
I’m on the Astros in this one. I just trust the Astros more, as I think the Mets are a prime candidate for regression in 2025. Hunter Brown had a rough start to last year but came on strong the rest of the way, and I think brown avoids the slow start here to get his team on the right foot out of the gate. Tylor Megill isn’t one of my favorite arms in this Mets rotation, and I think the Astros get another win at a reasonable price here. Give me Houston here.
