Astros vs Rockies Prediction 8/28/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 28th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 73-60 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-6 and 4-0. In their game two win, Houston jumped out to a 1-0 lead, which would have been enough for the shutout victory. The Astros recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Houston started Valdez, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while King picked up a hold. 

Prior to this series, the Astros won three out of four against the Orioles, but lost all three against the Tigers before that. Houston has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 565 runs with a .253 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 22 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 19 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Jason Alexander, who is 4-1 with a 4.59 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 49.0 innings pitched this year. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 38-95 this season after they lost game two in this series by a score of 4-0 on Wednesday night. Colorado fell behind early in the game and the offense never got going in the shutout loss. The Rockies recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Freeman, who went 2-4 in the defeat. Colorado started Dollander, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Anderson and Chivilli allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rockies lost all three against the Pirates and split four games with the Dodgers. Colorado has lost five of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.95 ERA with a 1.61 WHIP and a .299 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 497 runs with a .238 batting average and a .295 on base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with 26 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Mickey Moniak has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 3-13 with a 5.31 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 125.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Astros will beat the Rockies

• The Astros have won each of their last 14 games against the Rockies following a home win.
• The Rockies have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Daikin Park.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the Rockies’ last eight games at Daikin Park.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last four games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rockies’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rockies’ last eight day games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Astros’ last six day games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Isaac Paredes has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as favorites against NL opponents.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kris Bryant has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against the Astros.

Astros vs Rockies Prediction 

Houston bounced back from their game one loss with a nice win on Wednesday and they will look for the series win here. The Astros are 39-28 at home this year, while the Rockies are 17-50 on the road. Colorado has scored one run or fewer in four of their last five games and they are facing Alexander, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. The Astros are facing Freeland, who has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his last four. Take Houston to win this game by at least two runs.