Athletics vs Mets Prediction 4/11/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Mets Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, April 11^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 7-7 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 3-4 home record and are coming off a 0-4 home loss against the Athletics. Their previous three games were a 1-7 and a 2-7 home loss, and a 4-3 home win against the Diamondbacks.

The Mets have a .239 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .354 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Luis Robert Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .326 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 7. Francisco Alvarez adds a team-high 3 home runs.

Kodai Senga (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-1 record, 3.09 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 6-7 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL West. They have a 4-6 away record and are coming off a 4-0 road win against the Mets. Their previous three games were a 1-0 and a 3-2 road win, and a 3-5 road loss against the Yankees.

The Athletics have a .230 batting average this season, .295 OBP and .351 Slugging percentage. Oakland’s pitching staff has a 4.38 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. Max Muncy is the team’s best hitter with a .314 batting average. Shea Langeliers leads the team in RBI with 9, also adding a team-high 5 home runs.

Jacob Lopez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, and he has a 0-1 record, 6.48 ERA and 2.28 WHIP.

Athletics @ New York Mets Betting Trends: April 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 3.09
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Athletics: 1-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Athletics have lost 12 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have won four of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 day games at Citi Field against AL West opponents.
• The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Lopez      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 6.48
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Mets: 0-0

Why the Athletics will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Athletics have won each of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last 13 Saturday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday games as road underdogs.
• The Athletics have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday games as road underdogs.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Athletics’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Mets’ last 13 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Athletics and Mets.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Athletics’ last seven games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 22 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in five of his last eight appearances with the Mets as favorites against AL opponents.
• Luis Robert ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.463) this season.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

• Shea Langeliers has hit a home run in two of the Athletics’ last three games against NL opponents.
• Nick Kurtz has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances in day games.
• Shea Langeliers ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (7).
• The Mets rank T4th in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Athletics rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (73).
• The Athletics rank 26th in the league for walks this season (41).

Athletics vs Mets Prediction

Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and the Athletics are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in New York.

In this Athletics vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -160 home favorites. Both teams are on opposite trajectories lately, as the Mets have three consecutive losses, having scored just 3 total runs in that span, while on the other hand, the A’s have three consecutive wins and back-to-back shutouts against the Yankees and the Mets. I don’t trust Jacob Lopez for the A’s and Senga has been better for the Mets, who also have a better bullpen and are better against left-handed pitching, so I like them in a bounce-back spot today. Take the Mets on the moneyline.