Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction 9/18/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 18^th at the Fenway Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have an 83-69 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL East. The Red Sox have a 46-31 home record and are 72-76 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-4 home victory over the A’s, but are 2-4 in their last 6 games. They are 6-1-1 to the under in their last 8 games and are playing the Rays and the Blue Jays next.

The Red Sox have a .254 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .423 slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Trevor Story leads the Red Sox with 152 hits, while is the team’s best hitter, with a .266 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 92, adding a team-high 24 home runs.

Brayan Bello (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 11-7 record, 3.25 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 71-81 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL West. The Athletics have a 38-39 road record and are 75-70 in over/under. They are coming off a 11-5 home victory over the Reds, and have three straight wins. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games and are playing the Astros and the Pirates next.

The Athletics have a .255 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .436 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Brent Rooker leads the Athletics with 159 hits, while Jacob Wilson is the team’s best hitter with a .321 batting average. Tyler Soderstrom adds a team-high 89 RBI, while Nick Kurtz adds a team-high 32 home runs.

J.T. Ginn (R) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 3-6 record, 4.69 ERA, and 1.34 WHIP.

Athletics @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: September 18, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello      Record this season: 11-7      ERA: 3.25
• Home Record: 8-4
• Last 5 against Athletics: 1-1

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents following a home win.
• The Athletics have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following an extra innings loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine home day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: J.T. Ginn      Record this season: 3-6      ERA: 4.69
• Road Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Red Sox: –

Why the Athletics will win

• The Athletics have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites following an extra innings win.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in 18 of their last 19 games as road underdogs.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Thursday day games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Athletics’ last five road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the last seven games between the Athletics and Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Athletics’ last nine games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in six of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

• Brent Rooker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Athletics as road underdogs.
• Jacob Wilson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.317) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (303).
• The Red Sox are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
• The Athletics rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (276).
• The Athletics rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.437).

Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Athletics, and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings Boston. Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -155 home favorites. The A’s have been playing good baseball lately and are playing spoiler against teams looking to get into the playoffs, but I trust the Red Sox in a reasonable price at home in this one. They are putting Bello on the mound, who has been solid this season, and the Red Sox have a far better bullpen to back him up, and a better offense. Take the Boston Red Sox to get the job done at home in this one.