Miami Marlins (19-25) vs. Atlanta Braves (22-25)
May 29, 2022 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -204 / Miami Marlins +185; Over/Under: -7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action at Truist Park. The Miami Marlins need a win after losing 6 of their last 8 games. The Atlanta Braves look for a win after splitting their last 10 games.
The Miami Marlins have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Marlins have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jesus Aguilar leads the Marlins with 41 hits and 20 RBI, while Garrett Cooper and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 75 hits and 46 RBI. Elieser Hernandez gets the ball, and he is 2-4 with a 5.45 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Hernandez is 1-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Braves.
The Atlanta Braves have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Braves have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ozzie Albies leads the Braves with 45 hits and 22 RBI, while Dansby Swanson and Austin Riley have combined for 88 hits and 45 RBI. Max Fried gets the ball, and he is 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. Fried is 1-3 with a 5.89 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 21-54 in their last 75 road games and 1-6 in their last 7 overall. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite and 1-7 in their last 8 Sunday games. The over is 7-3-1 in Marlins last 11 overall. The over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 overall. The Marlins are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Atlanta and 22-50 in the last 72 meetings.
Elieser Hernandez has been god awful this season, and he shouldn’t be backed in any shape or form. Through 39.2 innings, Hernandez has allowed 39 hits and 24 earned runs, while walking 13. Max Fried has been solid all season long, and he’s gone 6 or more innings in each of his last 7 starts. Throw in the Braves’ dominance over the Marlins over the years, and I have to side with the home team and the RL for max betting value.
