Boston Red Sox (28-27) vs. Baltimore Orioles (34-19)
May 29, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -185 / Boston Red Sox +155; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 29th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Orioles Offense is Hot
The Baltimore Orioles are 34-19 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Baltimore won game one by a score of 11-3, but they dropped game two of this series on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Orioles swept the White Sox in four games, lost all three to the Cardinals, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Baltimore is 8-5 in their last 13 games and they are second in the AL East behind New York.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.39 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 266 runs with a .244 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .259 with 17 home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is sixth in the MLB in runs scored and they have scored at least five runs in four of their last six games.
Red Sox Continue to Battle
The Boston Red Sox are 28-27 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Boston was blown out in game one of this series, but they won game two by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against Milwaukee, swept the Rays in three games, and lost two out of three against St. Louis. Boston is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL East behind New York and Baltimore.
The Boston pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 243 runs with a .244 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .289 with 10 home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston is third in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last nine games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 65.2 innings pitched this season. Burnes has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and has gone at least six innings in all five. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 2-3 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this year. Crawford has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings, but did allow six earned runs and seven hits against Milwaukee in his last start.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
The Orioles have won each of their last seven night games against the Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a home loss.
The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine night games against the Orioles following a win.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a win.
The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Orioles’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Red Sox’s last three games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight Wednesday night games against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five Wednesday night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Baltimore comes into this game trying to catch the Yankees in the AL East and they are 18-11 at home so far this season. The Orioles have been outstanding on offense recently, but they will face Kutter Crawford, who has been one of the better pitchers in the AL this year. Crawford did have a bad outing last time out, but he has been very good this year. Boston has been solid with their pitching, but the offense is not where it needs to be. The Red Sox will go against Corbin Burnes, who is absolutely rolling right now. Baltimore doesn’t lose too many games in a row, especially at home, and I like them to bounce back with a strong outing from Burnes. My Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for Baltimore to win by at least two runs.
