Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-30-23 MLB Picks
Baltimore Orioles (100-60) vs Boston Red Sox (77-83)
2023-09-30 19:15:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -147 / Boston Red Sox +124 --- Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles clash Saturday in game 2 of an MLB series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox need a win after losing 7 of their last 10 games. The Red Sox are 1 of 8 AL teams out of the playoff race. The Red Sox pitching staff is 21st in ERA (4.55), 20th in WHIP (1.34) and 25th in quality starts (45). The Red Sox offense is 10th in runs per game (4.78), 6th in batting average (.258) and 18th in homers (182). Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 155 hits and 99 RBI, while Justin Turner and Masataka Yoshida have combined for 303 hits and 167 RBI. Kutter Crawford gets the ball, and he is 6-8 with a 4.23 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season. Crawford is 0-1 with a 27.00 ERA and 2 strikeouts in his career against the Orioles.
Boston Red Sox Team Facts
The Red Sox have lost each of their last six night games following a win.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games following a win.
The Red Sox have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight Saturday games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Orioles look for a win after winning 6 of their last 10 games. The Orioles already wrapped up the AL East. The Orioles pitching staff is 7th in ERA (3.93), 8th in WHIP (1.24) and 9th in quality starts (68). The Orioles’ offense is 7th in runs per game (5.01), 9th in batting average (.256) and 17th in homers (183). Adley Rutschman leads the Orioles with 161 hits and 79 RBI, while Anthony Santander and Austin Hays have combined for 293 hits and 160 RBI. Kyle Gibson gets the ball, and he is 15-9 with a 4.86 ERA and 153 strikeouts this season. Gibson is 4-4 with a 3.72 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.
Baltimore Orioles Team Facts
The Orioles have won each of their last six night games against the Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a home loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.
The Orioles have led after 7 innings in each of their last five Saturday games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five Saturday night games against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (306).
The Baltimore Orioles rank 7th in the league for runs scored this season (801).
The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (338).
The Boston Red Sox rank 4th in the league for hits this season (1418).
Randy’s Pick
The Orioles should be favored and probably get another win at home. However, I’m looking at the over in this spot. Kutter Crawford has a 4.23 ERA and still struggles with his control at times. Kyle Gibson has a 4.86 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, and he has a 5.30 ERA at home. Neither of these pitchers are scaring anybody, and both of these lineups are well above average. I expect some fireworks. Give me the over 8.5 runs.