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Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction 6/17/25 MLB Picks Today

Arizona Diamondbacks (36-35) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (38-33)
June 17, 2025 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -130 / Arizona Diamondbacks +110; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 17th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-33 this season after they lost all three games against Philadelphia by scores of 0-8, 2-3, and 4-11. In their game three loss, Toronto led 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they allowed the next six runs in the game, which sealed the loss. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Bichette, Roden, and Robertson, who all had one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed nine hits and six earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Swanson allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays swept the Cardinals in three games and won two out of three against the Twins. Toronto has split its last six games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 302 runs with a .254 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Bo Bichette has led Toronto with eight home runs and 41 RBIs, while George Springer has added 10 home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 7-3 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 80.1 innings pitched this season. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 36-35 this year after they won two out of three against San Diego by scores of 5-1, 8-7, and 2-8. In their game three loss, Arizona cut the deficit to 4-2 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find any more offense in the loss. The Diamondbacks recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Suarez, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Arizona started Kelly, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Scott and DeSclafani both allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Diamondbacks swept the Mariners in three games, but lost all three against the Reds before that. Arizona has won five of its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.77 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 361 runs with a .253 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 21 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 20 home runs and 44 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 8-4 with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 70.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Diamondbacks

  • The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 10 games at Rogers Centre.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six road games following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Diamondbacks have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL East opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as home favorites.
  • Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his 15 previous home appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games as home favorites.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against AL opponents.
  • Brandon Pfaadt has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in each of the Diamondbacks’ last three games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games.

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction 

Arizona comes into this matchup with some momentum after two series wins in a row, and they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Diamondbacks are 16-17 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 22-13 at home. Toronto had momentum going into their last series, but they were swept by the Phillies on the road. The Blue Jays are starting Bassitt, who has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. Arizona is going with Pfaadt, who has not pitched well this season, but was slightly better last time out. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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