Mets vs Cardinals Prediction 6/11/26 MLB Picks Today
St. Louis Cardinals (37-28) vs. NY Mets (29-38)
June 11, 2026 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -136 / St. Louis Cardinals 113; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
The St. Louis Cardinals and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Cardinals Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Cardinals Pick.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 37-28 on the year and play the Twins and Padres next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .244 on the season, with a .323 OBP and a .391 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 76 hits and 52 RBI, while Alec Burleson and Ivan Herrera have combined for 137 hits and 75 RBI.
Hunter Dobbins gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Dobbins’ second career game against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 29-38 on the year and play the Braves and Reds next. The New York Mets are batting .227 on the season, have a .291 OBP, and have a .363 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 61 hits and 32 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 113 hits and 51 RBI.
Christian Scott gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Scott’s second career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last seven Thursday games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last six Thursday games at Citi Field.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last three day games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Thursday games against the Cardinals.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Mets.
- The Mets have lost each of their last six day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Mets.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cardinals’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Cardinals and Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Hunter Dobbins’ last eight appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Mets’ last 16 day games against National League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Alec Burleson has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two games.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 10 games.
- Jordan Walker is one of only three players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (84).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for hits this season (508).
- The Cardinals rank T28th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (503).
Mets vs Cardinals Prediction
Scott has been strong for the Mets through 36 innings with a 2.50 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but it doesn’t matter when he pitches for the Mets. The Mets are back to their losing ways, and only the Tigers have lost more money than them this season. The Cardinals are having a hell of a week, and they’re on the road where they’ve won 18 games. The fact you can get the Cardinals at a plus money price to fade the Mets. Yeah, that’s where I want to be.