Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction 4/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 1st at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 3-2 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 5-2 on Monday. Toronto scored the first four runs in this game, and they were able to hang on for the win, despite allowing two runs in the sixth. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Guerrero, Gimenez, Kirk, Springer, and Lukes, who all had one RBI in the win. Toronto started Bowden Francis, who allowed two earned runs and two hits over 6.0 innings for the win, while Sandlin, Little, and Garcia threw three scoreless innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to that win, the Blue Jays split four games with the Orioles by scores of 2-12, 8-2, 5-9, and 3-1. The Toronto pitching staff has a 5.20 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 23 runs with a .269 batting average and a .344 on base percentage this year. Andres Gimenez has led Toronto with three home runs and five RBIs, while Guerrero and Springer both have three RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and a 2.20 WHIP over 5.0 innings of work this year. Berrios allowed nine hits and six earned runs against Baltimore in his first outing. The Blue Jays will play against the Mets following this series.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 1-3 this season after they lost to Toronto by a score of 5-2 on Monday. Washington cut the deficit from 4-0 to 4-2 in the sixth inning but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Nationals recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Wood, who went 2-3 with one home run, one RBI, and one walk in the loss. Washington started Soroka, who allowed four earned runs and five hits over 5.0 innings, while Salazar allowed one earned run and three hits in the seventh. 

Prior to that game, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Phillies by scores of 3-7, 6-11, and 5-1. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.75 ERA with a 1.69 WHIP and a .284 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 16 runs with a .230 batting average and a .293 on base percentage this season. Nathaniel Lowe has led Washington with two home runs and five RBIs, while Keibert Ruiz has added two home runs and three RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Trevor Williams, who was 6-1 with a 2.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 66.2 innings pitched last year. The Nats will take on the Diamondbacks after this series. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last 13 night games following a road loss.
• The home team has won four of the last five games between the Nationals and Blue Jays.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Nationals.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Nationals.

Why the Nationals will beat the Blue Jays

• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won each of their last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday night games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 night games at Rogers Centre following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Rogers Centre against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last nine games between the Nationals and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four games.

Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction 

Toronto was able to get the win in game one of this series on Monday, and their homestand continues here. The Blue Jays have allowed two runs or fewer in three of their last four games, but they will start Berrios in this game, who was not good in his first start. Washington is just 1-3 through four games, and they have allowed at least five runs in three of their four games. The Nationals are starting Trevor Williams, who was actually decent last year, but he was awful for the Nats in 2023. I don’t trust either pitcher in this game, and I think we are going to see some runs, so give me the over here.