Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 6/30/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 30th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 45-38 this year after they won two out of three against Boston by scores of 9-0, 1-15, and 5-3. In their game three win, Toronto was tied at two in the second inning, but they scored the next three runs in the game to pull away in the win. The Blue Jays recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Barger and Guerrero, who both had one home run and one RBI in the win. Toronto started Lauer, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Rodriguez picked up the win and Hoffman got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost two out of three against the White Sox before that. Toronto has won four of their last six games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 365 runs with a .256 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Bo Bichette has led Toronto with 11 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Vladimir Guerrero has added 12 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Max Scherzer, who is 0-0 with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 8.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 48-35 this season after they won two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 3-0, 0-7, and 12-5. In their game three win, New York had a 10-1 lead in the fifth inning, which allowed them to cruise to the victory. The Yankees recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Judge and Chisholm, who both had four RBIs in the win. New York started Stroman, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Brubaker allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Reds, but won two out of three against the Orioles before that. New York has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .217 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 422 runs with a .253 batting average and a .336 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 30 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added 15 home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 9-5 with a 2.92 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 101.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Blue Jays

• The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The road team has covered the run line in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six night games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against the Yankees.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs against the Yankees.
• Max Scherzer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 16 home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette ranks 5th in the league in Hits (97) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 14 road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (110) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (559).
• The Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (331).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

New York was able to bounce back from their shutout loss on Saturday with a big win on Sunday to win the series, but they will be on the road here. The Yankees are 22-18 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 25-16 at home. Toronto has scored at least five runs in three of their last four games, but they will face Rodon, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. New York will go against Scherzer, who has allowed five earned runs and nine hits over 8.0 innings this year. I don’t trust Scherzer at all in this situation, so give me the Yankees to win.