Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 7/1/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs Yankees Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 48-36 on the year and play the Mets, Mariners, and Cubs next. The New York Yankees are batting .252 on the season, have a .335 OBP, and a .447 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 110 hits and 67 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 161 hits and 75 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 10-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. Fried is 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 46-38 on the year and play the Angels, White Sox, and Athletics next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .257 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 97 hits and 49 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 169 hits and 66 RBI.

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 6-6 with a 4.21 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 10-10 with a 3.88 ERA and 173 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as road favorites.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last six day games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 day games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Ernie Clement has recorded two or more hits in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games against AL opponents.
• Ernie Clement ranks T10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.306) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (110) this season.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

The Blue Jays have done enough to be worth a look in spots like this, but I just can’t get there with this pitching matchup. Gausman is coming off a June where he allowed 25 hits and 17 runs in 28 innings, and he’s not good at home, where he has a 4.54 ERA and .248 allowed batting average. Fried is a CY Young candidate with a 1.92 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, and he’s allowed seven earned runs in his last 33 innings. In 58.2 road innings, Fried has a 1.99 ERA. The Yankees have won 13 of the 17 games Fried has pitched this season. Give me the Yankees for a bounce-back win on Tuesday.