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Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 4-18-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (12-5) vs. Boston Red Sox (9-9)
April 18, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -115 / Cleveland Guardians -102; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and the Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Giants vs Marlins prediction. This will be the finale in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Guardians lost two of three to the New York Yankees of the weekend, but bounced back with victories over Boston in the first two games of this set. On Wednesday, Cleveland posted a 2-0 loss with just five team hits. Starting pitcher Ben Lively put up 5.0 innings with two earned on three hits and one walk.

In the Thursday finale, the Guardians will send out Carlos Carrasco as the starting pitcher. This year in three starts Carrasco is 0-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 11 Ks in 12.2 innings. Carrasco has a career record of 107-94 with a 4.04 ERA in 306 games (259 starts).

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they won two of three over the Los Angeles Angels in their weekend series before the two losses to the Guardians on Monday and Tuesday. In game three, Boston got a complete-game shutout from Tanner Houck. He finished with three hits, no walks and nine strikeouts. Connor Wong added a solo homer.

Brennan Bernardino will take the mound for the Red Sox on Thursday as starter. This year Bernadino is 0-1 with a 1.69 ERA and eight Ks.

The Red Sox will meet the Pirates, Guardians, and Cubs after this series.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 11 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games following a win.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in 10 of their last 15 games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight Thursday road games.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five day games against AL East opponents.

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction

I’ll probably stay with the Guardians. Carrasco hasn’t done too badly over his first three starts this year. That said, he hasn’t gone past 4.2 innings in consecutive games and is also searching for his first win. Carrasco has given up two earned in his last 7.2 combined frames on six hits and eight walks.

On Wednesday the Guardians couldn’t figure out Houck in a great pitching performance. Cleveland is going to have to recover offensively—plus see a solid outing from Carrasco—but I think they’ve got a shot in the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians -102

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Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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