Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction 5-10-24 Picks

The Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals look to get above a .500 record after wins over the Blue Jays and Orioles. The Washington Nationals have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Washington Nationals have lost 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 37 hits and 20 RBI, while Luis Garcia Jr. and Jesse Winker have combined for 65 hits and 38 RBI.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 19-18 this season after losses to the Twins and Braves. The Boston Red Sox have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 7 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 41 hits and 15 RBI, while Connor Wong and Rafael Devers have combined for 57 hits and 26 RBI.

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-3 with a 6.45 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Corbin has allowed 7 earned runs in his last 10 innings. Corbin has a 8.85 ERA and .393 allowed batting average in 20.1 road innings. Corbin is 1-2 with a 5.27 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 3-3 with a 1.99 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. The Red Sox are 4-3 this season when Houck pitches. Houck has a 2.11 ERA and .229 allowed batting average in 21.1 home innings. This will be Houck’s second career game against the Washington Nationals.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last nine night games after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home night games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Friday games.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a loss.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 night games at Fenway Park following a loss.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as road underdogs.

Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction

The Washington Nationals have made us money a lot so far this season in the underdog role, and they keep getting priced like this despite treading water at a .500 record. With that said, Patrick Corbin isn’t a MLB caliber pitcher, and he’s been arguably the worst starter in baseball over the last handful of years. I’ve been fading Corbin for years, and he’s given me no reason to stop now. I see Corbin, I take the other side. Give me the Red Sox and the RL for max betting value.