NY Mets (21-25) vs. Cleveland Guardians (30-17)
May 20, 2024 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -127 / NY Mets +107; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Mets and Cleveland Guardians meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs NY Mets Prediction.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets are 21-25 on the year and are coming off losses to the Phillies and Marlins. The NY Mets have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The NY Mets have won 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the NY Mets with 45 hits and 16 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil have combined for 79 hits and 33 RBI.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 30-17 on the season after beating the Rangers and Twins recently. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 6 straight games when scoring at least 1 run. Andres Gimenez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 48 hits and 27 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez have combined for 94 hits and 52 RBI.
NY Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup
Tylor Megill gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. Megill will make his first start since March 31 after dealing with a shoulder injury. Megill allowed 3 hits and 1 earned run in 4 innings against the Brewers in his season debut. This will be Megill’s first career game against the Cleveland Guardians.
Ben Lively gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Lively has allowed 17 hits and 7 runs in his last 16.2 innings. Lively has a 1.46 ERA and .205 allowed batting average in 12.1 home innings. Lively is 3-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Mets have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against American League opponents.
- The home team has won each of the last six games between the Mets and Guardians.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine road games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games against the Mets.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Guardians as favorites against NL opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last seven games.
- Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as favorites.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Guardians’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- Josh Naylor ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Harrison Bader has hit a home run in three of his four previous road appearances against the Guardians.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Pete Alonso has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored a run in each of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs.
- Tylor Megill has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL Central opponents.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances.
- Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (349).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (421).
- The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (205).
Cleveland Guardians vs NY Mets Prediction
It’s hard to take the NY Mets seriously given the way they’ve played this season and how they looked against the Miami Marlins. It’s even tougher in this spot considering Tylor Megill hasn’t pitched in nearly two months. The Cleveland Guardians continue to pile up the wins and oddsmakers keep giving them these soft lines. Ben Lively has been solid this season and has been even better at home. I’ll take the Guardians at home in game 1 of this series.
