Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction 6/5/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 5th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 27-33 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 3-8 and 1-2. In their game two loss, Atlanta’s offense was pretty bad, but they did score in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Braves recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Baldwin, who went 0-1 with one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Sale, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Iglesias allowed two hits and one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Phillies. Atlanta has lost seven of their last nine games, and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 240 runs with a .243 batting average and a .316 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 12 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 10 home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 3-4 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 64.1 innings pitched this year. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 30-31 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-1 on Wednesday night. Arizona led 1-0 for most of the game, and they added a run in the top of the ninth, which ended up being the winning run. The Diamondbacks recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Marte and Gurriel Jr., who both had one RBI in the win. Arizona started Kelly, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Martinez picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Pirates. Arizona has won three games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 306 runs with a .254 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 16 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 18 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 7-4 with a 5.05 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this season.

Why the Braves will beat the Diamondbacks

• The Braves have won each of their last five day games at Truist Park following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five road games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five day games following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Truist Park against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Braves’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven day games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in two of the Braves’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
• Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last six home games against the Diamondbacks.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last eight day games.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last six day games.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ketel Marte has hit at least one home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games against the Braves.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games.
• Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games against the Braves.
• Eugenio Suarez has scored at least one run in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.

Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction 

Arizona has won the first two games in this series, and their pitching staff has been much improved during this three-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks are 15-14 on the road this year, while the Braves are 17-13 at home. Atlanta continues to struggle, and they have scored one run in three of their last five games. The Braves are starting Holmes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Diamondbacks are going with Pfaadt, who has allowed 8, 3, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. I don’t think we can trust Pfaadt until we see improvement, so take the Braves here.