Braves vs Phillies Prediction 6/27/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 47-34 on the year and play the Padres, Reds, and Giants next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .254 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .399 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 96 hits and 35 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Alec Bohm have combined for 171 hits and 77 RBI.

Mick Abel gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 2-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Abel’s first career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 37-43 on the year and play the Angels, Orioles, and Athletics next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .243 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 88 hits and 41 RBI while Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna have combined for 144 hits and 92 RBI.

Bryce Elder gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 2-4 with a 4.77 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Elder is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday road games.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven night games against the Braves following a road loss.
• The Braves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at Truist Park following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 13 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home night games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 night games.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three road games against the Braves.
• Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (96) this season.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are in a slump again, scoring one run in their last three games, and Abel has been hittable this month, allowing 18 hits and nine runs in his last 17.1 innings. Elder has allowed 26 hits and 13 runs in his last 22 innings, and he has a 4.40 ERA and .280 allowed batting average in 30.2 home innings. However, it doesn’t matter with the way the Phillies are swinging the bats lately. This feels like a spot where the Braves can get a big division win. I’ll side with the Braves.