Braves vs Red Sox Prediction 5/31/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 31st, at Truist Park. Let’s take a look at an Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. 

Red Sox Bounced Back

The Red Sox bounced back on Friday after losing five straight games. The Red Sox scored five runs and that was enough to win by four runs. Trevor Story had a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. Lucas Giolito went 4.2 innings, giving up five hits and one run. 

The Red Sox are averaging 4.74 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.53 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th while the pitching is ranked 23rd. Wilyer Abreu has hit 13 home runs and driven in 29 RBIs. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Walker Buehler who sits with a 4-2 record and an ERA of 3.95. Against the Baltimore Orioles in his last start he went five innings giving up four hits and two runs. 

Why the Red Sox Will Beat the Braves

• The Braves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won eight of the Red Sox’s last 11 games.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Red Sox following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games.

Braves Continue to be Bad

It has been a majorly disappointing year for the Braves, and it was another loss on Friday. The offense scored one run in the first inning and then the bats went ice cold the rest of the game on the way to the defeat. Grant Holmes got the start and he went 5.2 innings, giving up six hits and three runs. 

The Braves are averaging 4.16 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.9 runs per game. The offense is ranked 18th while the pitching is ranked 10th. As a team they are batting .248 which is 15th in baseball. Getting the start for the Braves will be Spencer Schwellenbach who sits with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 3.42. Against the San Diego Padres, he went seven innings, giving up seven hits and two earned runs. 

Why the Braves Will Beat the Red Sox

• The Braves have won each of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four day games at Truist Park following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Braves vs Red Sox Prediction 

The Red Sox and Braves are going to be involved in a lower-scoring game. If you like quality pitching matchups, this is the perfect one for you. Schwellenbach gave up only two runs in his last start and even though the record hasn’t been great he sits with an ERA of 3.42. Buehler has also been strong and even though his last start wasn’t his best start of the season, he’s going to have a good start again here. The under is 40-10-3 in Braves last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Back the under to cash.