Brewers vs Nationals Prediction 4/10/26 MLB Picks Today
Washington Nationals (4-8) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (8-4)
April 10, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -199 / Washington Nationals 163; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs. Nationals Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 4-8 on the year and play the Pirates and Giants next. The Washington Nationals are batting .266 on the season and have a .339 OBP, and a .431 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 6.04 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals with 14 hits and 5 RBI while Brady House and Luis Garcia Jr. have combined for 25 hits and 12 RBI.
Jake Irvin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Irvin is 0-5 with a 6.59 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 8-4 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Marlins next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 253 on the season, have a .356 OBP, and have a .395 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Christian Yelich leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 16 hits and 10 RBI, while Brice Turang and William Contreras have combined for 20 hits and 15 RBI.
Chad Patrick gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Patrick’s first career game against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Nationals.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight Friday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Nationals and Brewers has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Nationals’ last 11 games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five night games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last three night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (23).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (62).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (6.06).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.275).
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction
The Nationals are looking more and more like the team we expected to see from the start, and you’ll make plenty of money this season blindly fading them. Irvin isn’t off to a good start either and I doubt that changes in this matchup. In 74 at-bats against current Brewers, Irvin is allowing a .351 batting average and .435 on-base percentage with four homers. Many key batters in the Brewers lineup have owned Irvin. The Brewers should roll in this matchup and I’ll take the RL to shave down the price as well.