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Brewers vs Pirates Prediction 8/12/25 MLB Picks Today

Pittsburgh Pirates (51-69) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (74-44)
August 12, 2025 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -113 / Pittsburgh Pirates -107; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-69 on the year and play the Cubs, Blue Jays, and Rockies next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .232 on the season, have a .304 OBP, and a .346 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 107 hits and 56 RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 184 hits and 72 RBI.

George Kirby gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 7-5 with a 4.04 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. This will be Kirby’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Pirates will take on the Cubs over the weekend. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-44 on the year and play the Reds, Cubs, and Giants next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .257 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .401 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 123 hits and 67 RBI while Brice Turang and Christian Yelich have combined for 228 hits and 130 RBI.

Dean Kremer gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 8-8 with a 4.35 ERA and 110 strikeouts this season. Kremer is 0-2 with a 10.05 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers will take on the Reds over the weekend. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games.
  • The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games following a home win.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at American Family Field.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The Brewers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against the Pirates following a win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Pirates have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.
  • The Pirates have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Brice Turang has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last three night games.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 16 games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Freddy Peralta ranks T1st in the league for Wins (13) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against the Brewers.
  • Jack Suwinski has hit a home run in three of his last four Tuesday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Paul Skenes ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.94) this season.

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction

The Pirates are worth a look with Skenes on the mound, arguably the best arm in baseball and somebody with a 1.94 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. However, the Pirates as a team aren’t good, so I’m not sure Skenes is enough. The Brewers have lost once since July 27, and Peralta has been solid in his own right. Peralta has a 3.03 ERA and 1.14 WHIP on the season, making him a top-20 starter in baseball. In 67.2 home innings, Peralta has a 2.13 ERA and .208 allowed batting average. Give me the hot hand that is the Brewers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -113

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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