Brewers vs Royals Prediction 4/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 1, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals (2-2, 1-0 Away) lost the opening series of the season to the Cleveland Guardians at home. They got one win in a three-game series but opened the current three-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers with a massive 11-1 victory. Jonathan India, Hunter Renfroe, and Maikel Garica contributed two RBi apiece, while Kris Bubic got a win after allowing no runs on three hits with eight strikeouts and two walks over 6.0 innings.

This year, the Royals average 3.33 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .218/.272/.347 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Royals’ staff has a 4.82 ERA (23rd) and 1.39 WHIP (23rd). Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals with a .214 batting average, one home run, and four RBI this season.

Michael Lorenzen will take the mound for the Royals on Tuesday. The 33-year-old right-hander had a 7-6 record last season in 24 starts between the Royals and Rangers with a 2.69 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 130.1 innings.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers (0-4, 0-1 Home) were destroyed by the New York Yankees in the opening series of the season. Not only did the Brewers lose all three games, but they allowed 32 runs in the last two defeats. Their poor defense continued in the first game of this series with the Royals, as the Brewers allowed 11 runs. The reigning NL Central champions are not looking good early in the season.

This season, the Brewers average 4.67 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .236/.298/.345 slash line. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 12.75 ERA (30th) and 2.08 WHIP (30th). Jake Bauers leads the Brewers with a .400 batting average, one home run, and three RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Brewers is Chad Patrick, who pitched for one inning as a reliever this season and allowed two runs on two hits for an 18.00 ERA in a 20-9 loss to the Yankees. The rookie right-hander will get his first-career start in the MLB.

Why the Royals will beat the Brewers

• The Royals have won 10 of their last 11 road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last five games.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Royals’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Brewers’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last four games at American Family Field.

Brewers vs Royals Prediction

The Royals won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. Milwaukee has big problems with injured pitchers, as Civale, Woodruff, Ashby, and Myers are all out, so they have to give a start to an inexperienced Patrick. He is going to struggle in this one, and I am backing the Royals to trouble him early on and score multiple runs in the opening few innings. Lorenzen, on the other hand, has strong numbers against the Brewers’ batter in his career; he allowed a .146 BA and only one RBI in 41 at-bats. Go with the Royals to get a W.