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Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 6-11-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (42-22) vs. Cincinnati Reds (32-34)
June 11, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +105 / Cleveland Guardians -125; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB game 1 action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 42-22 on the year after wins over the Royals and Marlins. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 12 of their last 14 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 69 hits and 62 RBI, while Andres Gimenez and Steven Kwan have combined for 119 hits and 47 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 32-34 on the year after wins over the Rockies and Cubs. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 57 hits and 29 RBI, while Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario have combined for 106 hits and 66 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Triston McKenzie gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-3 with a 4.16 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Has allowed 15 hits and 9 runs in his last 10.1 innings. McKenzie has a 4.50 ERA and .224 allowed batting average in 22 road innings. McKenzie is 0-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Brent Suter gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. Suter has allowed 3 hits and 0 runs in his last 4 innings. Suter has a 2.61 ERA and .237 allowed batting average in 20.2 home innings. Suter is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won seven of their last eight games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have lost each of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jake Fraley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has scored a run in each of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Josh Naylor has hit at least one home run in each of the Guardians’ last two night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded a Double in three of his four previous road appearances against the Reds after not playing the previous day.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in nine of the Guardians’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Brent Suter has been solid this season, but he’s not a starting pitcher, so you’re going to have to rely on a lot of arms to get you over the finish line. I don’t like openers. Triston McKenzie is showing signs of returning to all star caliber form, and the Guardians are consistently winning when he pitches. The Cleveland Guardians are also the second most profitable team in MLB. Only the Yankees have earned bettors more money this season than the Guardians. I’ll take the cheap price with the road team in the Guardians.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians -125

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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