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Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 6-12-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (42-22) vs. Cincinnati Reds (32-34)
June 12, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -116 / Cleveland Guardians +106; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and the Cincinnati Reds meet Wednesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians prediction. This will be the final installment in a two-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Guardians took on the Miami Marlins in their weekend series. Cleveland lost the first installment of that set 3-2, but then came back for wins 8-0 and 6-3 in the remaining pair. On Tuesday versus the Reds, the Guardians powered out a 5-3 win. Starter Triston McKenzie finished with 5.1 innings and two earned runs.

In the starter role for the Wednesday game the Guardians are going with Tanner Bibee. In his 13 starts this year Bibee is 4-1 with a 3.73 ERA and 76 Ks in 70.0 innings. Bibee is 14-5 with a 3.23 ERA in 38 starts total over his career.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Chicago Cubs over the weekend. Cincinnati won the first three games of that set 8-4, 3-2 and 4-3 before a 4-2 loss in the finale. In the Tuesday matchup the Reds gave up three runs in the third inning. Brent Suter put up 1.0 innings in the opener role with one hit, no earned, no walks and zero Ks.

It’ll be Nick Lodolo in the starting pitcher role for the Reds on Wednesday. This year Lodolo is 6-2 with a 2.92 ERA and 56 Ks in 52.1 innings over nine starts. Lodolo is 12-10 with a 3.93 ERA in 35 career starts.

Guardians vs Reds Injury Notes

Reds RP Emilio Pagan was placed on the 15-day Injured List Sunday due to a right lat strain.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Reds’ last 10 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Guardians’ last six games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Fraley has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored a run in each of the Reds’ last five night games.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Wednesday night appearances with the Reds as favorites.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Reds as favorites.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has hit at least one home run in each of the Guardians’ last three night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Guardians’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Guardians as road underdogs.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Guardians as underdogs.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Guardians as underdogs.

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

I’ll stay with the Reds. Lodolo should post a quality start here; he’s been doing a solid job on the mound lately. Over his last three starts Lodolo is 3-0 with four earned in 17.1 innings total. As for Bibee, he’s given up six earned runs in 17.1 innings over his last three starts. Bibee is 2-0 in that time.

On Tuesday the Reds had one particularly bad inning and no one outside of Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor helped much offensively. That pair had a combined five hits, two runs and five RBI. Cincinnati will probably need some more offense Wednesday if they’re going to compete.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds -116

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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