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Cleveland Guardians vs LA Angels Prediction 5-4-24 Picks

LA Angels (12-20) vs. Cleveland Guardians (20-12)
May 4, 2024 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -118 / LA Angels +100; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The LA Angels and Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs LA Angels Prediction.

LA Angels Betting Preview

The LA Angels are 12-20 this season after losses to the Twins and Phillies. The LA Angels have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The LA Angels have lost 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Taylor Ward leads the LA Angels with 35 hits and 24 RBI while Luis Rengifo and Zach Neto have combined for 55 hits and 22 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 20-12 this season after wins over the Braves and Astros. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Cleveland Guardians have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 47 hits and 11 RBI, while Andres Gimenez and Jose Ramirez have combined for 63 hits and 43 RBI.

LA Angels vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Reid Detmers gets the ball for the LA Angels, and he is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Detmers has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 29.2 innings, but he has a 1.08 ERA and .211 allowed batting average in 16.2 road innings. Detmers is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Ben Lively gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 0-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. Lively has allowed 12 hits and 4 runs in 15.2 innings this season. With a 0.96 WHIP, Lively has off to a fine start with his fourth different team since 2017. This will be Lively’s second career game against the LA Angels.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 2.30
  • The Angels have lost each of their last 13 games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Guardians have won 10 of their last 11 home games against AL West opponents.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against the Guardians following a win.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in four of their last five games following a loss.
  • The Angels have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday games.
  • The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Reid Detmers Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 3.12
  • The Angels have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Guardians.
  • The Guardians have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Angels have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games following a home loss.
  • The Angels have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Angels have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Guardians.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Angels’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites against the Angels have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games.

Cleveland Guardians vs LA Angels Prediction

The Angels are capable of laying eggs offensively more times than not and despite their success overall, the Cleveland Guardians have scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. Neither lineup is lighting the world on fire. Reid Detmers has been fabulous on the road this season with a 1.08 ERA and .211 batting average, while Ben Lively has a WHIP under 1 and an ERA of 2.30. Two pitchers in above average form and two offenses that struggle to string together success. I’ll take my chances by snagging the under in game 2 of the Angels and Guardians. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Under 8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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