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Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/6/26 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (54-61) vs. Chicago Cubs (66-49)
August 6, 2026 2:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs 108 / Toronto Blue Jays -115; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago Cubs meet Thursday in MLB action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Cubs vs Blue Jays Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 54-61 on the year and play the Phillies and Red Sox next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .241 on the season, with a .302 OBP and a .377 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 123 hits and 38 RBI, while Kazuma Okamoto and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 198 hits and 114 RBI.

Dylan Cease gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 7-5 with a 2.41 ERA and 174 strikeouts this season. Cease is 4-2 with a 2.47 ERA and 61 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 66-49 on the year and play the Nationals and Royals next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .249 on the season, with a .339 OBP and a .417 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs’ pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Chicago Cubs with 124 hits and 69 RBI, while Alex Bregman and Nico Hoerner have combined for 227 hits and 102 RBI.

David Peterson gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 6-7 with a 5.52 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Peterson is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
  • The Cubs have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games following a win.
  • The Cubs have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have won 15 of their last 16 Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last 15 Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Blue Jays following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Cubs’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last 10 Thursday games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • David Peterson has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Michael Busch has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 11 home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 5th in the league in Steals (28) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit at least one home run in each of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Dylan Cease ranks 3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (174) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (494).
  • The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (592).
  • The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (449).
  • The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (7).

Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Cubs are the better team playing the more consistent ball, but I can’t get there with Peterson and his 5.52 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. He’s been on the struggle bus all year, and that hasn’t changed since coming over from the Mets. Cease has been one of the best pitchers in baseball with a 2.41 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, and he’s allowed 15 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 36 innings. Cease has a 1.92 ERA and a .163 batting average allowed on the road. With a soft price, I’ll ride with the Blue Jays and the better pitcher.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -115

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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