Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 8/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 28th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 63-73 this year after they split four games with the Rockies by scores of 13-3, 1-3, 1-13, and 7-1. In game four, Washington had their lead cut to 2-1 in the third inning, but they scored the last five runs to seal the win. The Nationals recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Lile, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Irvin allowed three hits and one earned run over 4.1 innings, while Cosgrove got the win and Beeter picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Washington lost all three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Rangers. 

This season, Washington has a 4.69 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while they have scored 704 runs with a .248 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 29 home runs and 92 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jackson Kent, who is 0-2 with an 8.03 ERA and a 2.11 WHIP over 12.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins 68-66 this year after they lost two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 2-4, 3-7, and 4-0. In game three, Miami took the lead in the first inning and never looked back in the shutout win. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Sanoja, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Gusto allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Junk picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Miami swept the Nationals in three games, but lost all three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 582 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 59 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 7-9 with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 127.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have won three of the Marlins’ last four games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last eight games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have lost 16 of their last 17 games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last five night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Marlins’ last 13 night games against NL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six night games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Daylen Lile has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Marlins.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (43) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Eury Perez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Eury Perez has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight road games.
• Joe Mack has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Marlins as road favorites.
• Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (160) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (704).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (188).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (140).

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup after losing a series to Boston, but they have won three of their last five games. The Marlins are 26-39 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 29-38 at home. Washington has lost three of their last five games and they have scored two runs or fewer in all three of those losses. The Nationals are starting Kent, who has allowed 11 earned runs over 11.2 innings, while Perez has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Marlins here.