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Cubs vs Brewers Prediction 8/18/25 MLB Picks Today

Milwaukee Brewers (78-45) vs. Chicago Cubs (70-53)
August 18, 2025 2:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -126 / Milwaukee Brewers 104; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 18th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 70-53 this season after they won two out of three against Pittsburgh by scores of 2-3, 3-1, and 4-3. In their game three win, Chicago trailed 3-2 in the sixth inning, but they scored the last two runs to escape with the victory. The Cubs recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Swanson, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. Chicago started Assad, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Thielbar picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Cardinals. Chicago has won three of their last five games and they are second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 614 runs with a .251 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 27 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 27 home runs and 79 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago in game one is Cade Horton, who is 7-3 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starter for game two is possibly Jameson Taillon, who is coming off of the IL. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 78-45 this year after they won two out of three against Cincinnati by scores of 10-8, 6-5, and 2-3. In their game three loss, Milwaukee led 2-1 in the ninth inning, but couldn’t hold the lead and lost in extras. The Brewers recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Contreras, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Milwaukee started Quintana, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings, while Anderson picked up the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Brewers swept the Pirates in three games and also swept the Mets in three games. Milwaukee has won 14 of their last 15 games and they are still first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 638 runs with a .259 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 25 home runs and 86 RBIs, while William Contreras has added 13 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee in game one is Freddy Peralta, who is 14-5 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this season. The projected starter for game two is Chad Patrick, who is being recalled from the minors. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Brewers

  • The favorites have won each of the Brewers’ last nine games.
  • The Brewers have lost three of their last four games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday day home games.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games on the first leg of a doubleheader.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Brewers will beat the Cubs

  • The Cubs have lost each of their last nine Monday games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have won each of their last eight day games following a loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 20 games as underdogs.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games following a win.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 road games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cubs’ last four home games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Brewers’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 games as road underdogs.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Ian Happ has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Justin Turner has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 9th in the league in Steals (30) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.
  • William Contreras has hit at least one home run in each of the Brewers’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brice Turang has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances at Wrigley Field.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (313).
  • The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (131).
  • The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (638).
  • The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.259).

David Racey is 25-16 (61%) in the MLB over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction

These two teams are first and second in the NL Central standings right now, but Milwaukee has been the hottest team in baseball and has a huge lead. The Brewers are 36-25 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 38-23 at home. Chicago’s offense has really slowed down after a great start, which has been the main reason for some recent struggles. In game one, I love how Horton has pitched, so I will take the Cubs. In game two, we don’t really know who the starting pitchers will be, but I will back the Brewers if Taillon is the starter for Chicago. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Game 1: Cubs ML Game 2: Brewers ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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