Tigers vs Twins Prediction 8-4-25 MLB Picks
Minnesota Twins (52-59) vs. Detroit Tigers (65-48)
August 4, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -164 / Minnesota Twins +134; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers meet Monday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Twins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was published. Casey Mize will get the start for the Tigers and is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to build on their 5-4 win over the Cleveland Guardians last time out to sit at 52-59 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Royals.
Twins Snap Four-Game Losing Skid
Byron Buxton has 92 hits along with 14 doubles, a team-high 23 home runs and 59 RBIs with 17 stolen bases and 4 triples while Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 88 hits with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 46 RBIs as well this season. Brooks Lee has contributed 79 hits with 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 43 RBIs and Matt Wallner has 14 homers and 25 RBIs as well.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Tigers have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have won five of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the Twins’ last 11 games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against the Tigers.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded a hit in each of his last six appearances.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to rebound from a 2-0 loss at the hands of the Philadelphia Phillies in Sunday’s series finale to fall to 65-48 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will take on the Los Angeles Angels in a series at home.
Tigers Looking To Rebound From Series Loss To Phils
Spencer Torkelson has 92 hits along with a .237 batting average including 23 home runs, 23 doubles and 63 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 18 home runs and 36 RBIs while Riley Greene has 115 hits with 23 doubles, 26 home runs and 84 RBIs but also has a team-high 147 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 9 home runs and 42 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 16 doubles, 8 triples, 9 home runs and 37 RBIs of his own along with 87 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 82 hits and 14 doubles as well as 11 home runs and 45 RBIs this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Twins have lost each of their last six games following a road win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Twins following a loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Casey Mize has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Twins.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Twins’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last four night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Tigers vs Twins Prediction
I’m on the Tigers here. I don’t love the form that Casey Mize is in, but it makes it really hard to back the Twins, given all the offloading that Minnesota did at the trade deadline. They shipped out a lot of their bullpen and consistent lineup players. The Twins went from a team that could contend coming into the year to a team that’s focusing on rebuilding the farm system for the future. Detroit has their eyes fixed on a division title, and I just feel a lot better about the direction that the Tigers are trending in going forward. Give me Detroit here.