Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction 5/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Monday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Griffin Canning for the start in this one, and Canning is 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Ryne Nelson will get the start for the Diamondbacks and is 1-0 with a 5.82 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from being swept in their double-header against the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, losing 6-5 in game one and 5-4 in game two. They fall to 22-13 on the year as a result. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Chicago Cubs.

Mets Drop Back-To-Back Series

Pete Alonso has a team-high 43 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs, 31 RBIs, and a .344 batting average, while Juan Soto has 33 hits with 8 doubles, 5 home runs, and 14 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 40 hits with 3 stolen bases along with 5 doubles, 6 home runs, and 19 RBIs, while Mark Vientoe has 4 home runs, 15 RBIs, but has a team-high 29 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 28 hits with 5 doubles and 7 home runs, and 23 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 7 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 8 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last 13 Monday night games.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six home games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents following a win.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four road games against the Diamondbacks.Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction
• Griffin Canning has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four road games against the Diamondbacks.
• Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last nine Monday games.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
• Pete Alonso ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.656) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to add on to their 11-9 win over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out to improve to 18-16 on the year. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Diamondbacks Looking For Another Series Win Over Mets

Corbin Carroll has a team-high 41 hits with 9 home runs, 26 RBIs, 4 triples, and 8 doubles, while Josh Naylor has 38 hits with 9 doubles, 4 home runs, and 20 RBIs as well this season. Eugenio Suarez has also added 10 home runs and 21 RBIs, while Geraldo Perdomo has 29 RBIs. Naylor has also chipped in 6 stolen bases as well up to this point in the year, while Suarez has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Diamondbacks with 43 strikeouts so far this season. Carroll also has 5 stolen bases, and Perdomo has a team-high 9 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Mets have lost four of their last five games.
• The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six night games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Diamondbacks’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against NL East opponents.
• Gabriel Moreno has scored a run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Carroll has recorded a Single in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight Monday games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Eugenio Suarez ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mets’ last 10 night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks here. I’m not the biggest fan of Ryne Nelson, but the thing is that I trust this Diamondbacks team at home, and I trust them a lot more against right-handed pitching than left-handed pitching. I think that the Diamondbacks can defend their home field doing so as well. The Mets have a fantastic record on paper, but I have my concerns backing them in this series, and I think that the Diamondbacks draw first blood here. Give me Arizona.