MLB Picks

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction 5/5/25 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (23-11) vs. Miami Marlins (13-20)
May 5, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +154 / LA Dodgers -185; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Ben Casparius for the start in this one, and Casparius is 3-0 with a 2.91 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Sandy Alcantara will get the start for the Marlins here and is 2-3 with an 8.31 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to bounce back after a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Braves in Sunday’s series finale to fall to 23-11 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Dodgers Have Seven-Game Win Streak Snapped

Shohei Ohtani has 37 hits, including 8 home runs, while Tommy Edman has 28 hits with 8 home runs and 24 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 14 hits with 4 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 39 hits with 9 home runs, 9 doubles, and 33 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 9 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 6 doubles but also has the team lead with 38 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 5 home runs and 21 RBIs on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have won each of the Marlins’ last eight games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 Monday road games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Andy Pages has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last five games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last six road games against NL opponents.
  • Andy Pages has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded two or more RBIs in each of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous Monday appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Teoscar Hernandez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.586) this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Athletics in Sunday’s series finale to slip to 13-20 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Marlins Drop 7 Of Their Last 8

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 35 hits, including 3 doubles and a team-high 8 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 27 hits with 6 doubles. Otto Lopez has 25 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 11 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 35 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs, and 25 RBIs, but also has 34 strikeouts, while Mervis has a team-high 35 so far this season. Griffin Conine’s also chipped in 18 hits with a team-high 7 doubles as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Dodgers have lost six of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The home team has won each of the last three games between the Dodgers and Marlins.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against the Dodgers following a home loss.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 12 home games against NL West opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in six of the Marlins’ last seven games against the Dodgers.
  • Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins’ last six games against the Dodgers.
  • Kyle Stowers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.321) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Dodgers’ last six games as favorites against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last six games between the Dodgers and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. I know there’s not a lot to go off of with Casparius, but the Dodgers have a potent lineup from top to bottom, which everyone’s aware of unless you’ve been living under a rock. The Marlins have been better than expected, but we’re starting to see signs of the Marlins tailing off as of late. Sandy Alcantara, while he’s the ace of the rotation in name, the results this season have been anything but, and he’s been shelled by the Dodgers for the better part of his career. I think the Marlins are in some deep trouble here, and I think the Dodgers tee off on Miami once again to start the series with a win. Give me Los Angeles here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

Related Articles

Back to top button