Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction 4/14/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, April 14^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 9-7 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 6-4 home record and are coming off a 9-7 home win against the Diamondbacks. Their previous three games were a 6-2 home win, a 6-2 home win, and a 3-6 home loss against the Giants.

The Orioles have a .249 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average. Gunnar Henderson leads the team in RBI with 13, also adding a team‑high 6 home runs.

Trevor Rogers (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 2-0 record, 1.89 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 9-8 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL West. They have a 4-6 away record and are coming off a 7-9 road loss against the Orioles. Their previous three games were a 4-3 road win, a 3-4 road loss, and a 5-4 road win against the Phillies.

The Diamondbacks have a .229 batting average this season, .287 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Corbin Carroll is the team’s best hitter with a .321 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 11. Ketel Marte adds a team‑high 4 home runs.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks and last season he had a 3.22 ERA with the Dbacks and 4.23 ERA in 10 games with the Rangers. He has a career 3.77 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: April 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 1.89
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 2-1

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Orioles: 1-1

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 15 games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 19 Tuesday games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Diamondbacks and Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home favorites.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (6) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• James McCann has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL opponents.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games.
• Corbin Carroll ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.623) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank T4th in the league for doubles this season (32).
• The Orioles rank 6th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.399).
• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (35).
• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (5).

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Diamondbacks and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Baltimore.

In this Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -150 home favorites. The Orioles have been red-hot lately with a 6-1 record in their last 7 games and have scored 21 runs in their last three games. They have a superior bullpen, as the Dbacks are 26^th in bullpen ERA and Rogers has looked great in 2026 so far, while I don’t trust Kelly in his season debut. Tak the Orioles on the moneyline in this one.