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Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction Prediction 8/4/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (69-44) vs. Chicago Cubs (64-49)
August 4, 2026 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs 168 / LA Dodgers -206; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, August 4th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 64-49 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 32-24 home record and are coming off a 10-5 home win against the Dodgers. They will face the Royals and the Nationals next.

The Chicago Cubs have a .248 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .414 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average, adding a team-high 64 RBI and a team-high 24 home runs.

Javier Assad (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Chicago Cubs, and he has a 6-1 record, 3.75 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 69-44 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL West. They have a 36-21 away record and are coming off a 5-10 road loss against the Cubs. They will face the Dbacks and the Royals next.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a .262 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .432 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’s pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Freddie Freeman is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Andy Pages leads the team in RBI with 74, while Shohei Ohtani adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Tarik Skubal (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he has a 7-5 record, 2.79 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: August 4, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad      Record this season: 6-1      ERA: 3.75
  • Home Record: 2-0
  • Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-0

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cubs have won each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at Wrigley Field.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Wrigley Field.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal      Record this season: 7-5      ERA: 2.79
  • Road Record: 4-3
  • Last 5 against Cubs: 1-1

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last eight games as road favorites following a road loss.
  • The Cubs have lost each of their last four home games following a win.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games at Wrigley Field following a win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against the Cubs following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the last nine games between the Dodgers and Cubs at Wrigley Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Dodgers’ last five night games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games at Wrigley Field.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Busch has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL West opponents.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 13 home games against NL opponents.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T8th in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four night games.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (491).
  • The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.339).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.262).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).

Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction

The Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Dodgers and have won their last three meetings in Chicago.

In this Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -200 home favorites. The Dodgers are being huge favorites because they are the Dodgers and will have Tarik Skubal making his first start with the team, but they have four consecutive wins and will face a Cubs team that has been excellent against lefties lately and has been better than the Dodgers’ in their last 10 games. On top of that, their bullpen has been elite lately and Assad has been better at home with a 2.22 ERA. Take the Cubs by +1.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs +1.5

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