Guardians vs Mariners Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 28th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 43-40 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-3 and 4-3. In game two, Cleveland scored four runs in the first five innings, but barely hung on for the win. The Guardians recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ingle, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Cecconi allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Smith picked up the save. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Astros. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 325 runs with a .227 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 34 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 9-4 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 96.2 innings pitched this season. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 42-42 this year after they dropped game two by a score of 3-4 last night. Seattle cut the deficit to 4-3 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run for the loss. The Mariners recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Arozarena, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Gilbert allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Ferrer pitched the eighth in relief. Prior to this series, Seattle lost two out of three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Seattle has a 3.68 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 337 runs with a .230 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez has led the Mariners with 14 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Luke Raley has added 14 home runs and 35 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Emerson Hancock, who is 5-4 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won each of their last nine Sunday day games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost five of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in three of their last four games against AL West opponents.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Guardians have won the first inning in each of their last three games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Mariners have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Guardians following a loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last 13 games at Progressive Field.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Guardians’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Mariners’ last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Gavin Williams has recorded eight or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents.
• Kahlil Watson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games.
• Gavin Williams has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his nine previous appearances against the Mariners.
• Gavin Williams ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Emerson Hancock has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against AL opponents.
• Randy Arozarena ranks T6th in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.363).
• The Guardians rank 29th in the league for hits this season (616).
• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (210).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (104).

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction

Cleveland was able to get a much needed win on Saturday night in game two and they will aim for the series win here. The Guardians are 20-18 at home this year, while the Mariners are 20-23 on the road. Seattle has lost three of their last four games and they have scored three or fewer in five straight. The Mariners are starting Hancock, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two starts, while Williams has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four. Take the over here.