Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-4-24 Picks

The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 17-15 this season after wins over the Diamondbacks and Braves. The Seattle Mariners have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 34 hits and 11 RBI, while Ty France and Josh Rojas have combined for 49 hits and 14 RBI.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 12-20 this season after wins over the Rockies and Guardians. The Houston Astros have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Houston Astros have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 46 this and 12 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Kyle Tucker have combined for 74 hits and 34 RBI.

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Gilbert has allowed 19 hits and 8 runs in his last 33 innings. Gilbert has a 2.25 ERA and .169 allowed batting average through 20 road innings. Gilbert is 4-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. Valdez has allowed 11 hits and 2 runs in his last 12.2 innings. Valdez has yet to allow a home run through 17.1 innings this season. Valdez is 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 71 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 2.60
• The Mariners have lost each of their last five games at Minute Maid Park against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have won five of their last six games.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in five of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season: 2-0 ERA: 2.03
• The Astros have lost nine of their last 10 night games following a home win.
• The Mariners have won seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 night games at Minute Maid Park following a win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Minute Maid Park.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Astros.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last nine night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Astros’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last three games.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

I considered the Seattle Mariners and the plus money because Logan Gilbert is on the mound, and he’s been terrific this season. The problem is Framber Valdez has held his own as well despite a smaller sample size, and he’s had great success against the Mariners. Also, the Mariners have been dreadful offensively all week, and this spot against a good Valdez doesn’t seem where things are going to pick up. I need to see the Mariners get out of this funk offensively. The price is more than reasonable with the Astros at home. Give me the Astros.