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Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-7-24 Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (20-14) vs. Kansas City Royals (21-15)
May 7, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -128 / Milwaukee Brewers +109; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Brewers and Kansas City Royals meet Tuesday in MLB game 2 action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are riding a 3-game losing streak which includes losses to the Chicago Cubs. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 44 hits and 27 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 66 hits and 34 RBI.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 21-15 this season after beating the Blue Jays and Rangers. The Kansas City Royals have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Kansas City Royals have won 6 of their last 10 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 44 hits and 19 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Maikel Garcia have combined for 74 hits and 52 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Colin Rea gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-0 with a 2.67 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Rea has allowed 25 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 28.2 innings. Rea has a 2.30 ERA and .242 allowed abutting average in 15.2 road innings. Rea is 0-0 with a 7.71 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Seth Lugo gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 5-1 with a 1.60 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Lugo has allowed 33 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 39 innings. The Royals have won 5 of Lugo’s last 6 starts. Lugo is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo Record this season: 5-1 ERA: 1.60
  • The home team has won each of the last four games between the Brewers and Royals.
  • The Brewers have lost five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last five home games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games following a loss.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Colin Rea Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 2.67
  • The Royals have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Royals’ last nine games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Brewers’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last eight games as favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three games against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I wanted to take the Milwaukee Brewers and the plus money because how good Colin Rea has been this season, but there’s not enough bang for my buck. The Kansas City Royals continue to turn heads, the offense is producing, and Seth Lugo has been lights out so far this season. Lugo has the third-best ERA in baseball and the 21st best WHIP at 1.02. The price is more than reasonable. Give me the Royals at home and the soft line in what should be a fun game between two pitchers who are dealing right now. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Kansas City Royals -128

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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