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Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5-7-24 Picks

San Diego Padres (19-19) vs. Chicago Cubs (21-15)
May 7, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -135 / San Diego Padres +115; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs meet Tuesday in MLB game 2 action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres look to get above a .500 record after wins over the Reds and Diamondbacks. The San Diego Padres have scored 23 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 straight games. The San Diego Padres have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 43 hits and 25 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 76 hits and 45 RBI.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 21-15 this season after beating the Mets and Brewers. The Chicago Cubs have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Chicago Cubs have lost 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 38 hits and 10 RBI, while Michael Busch and Ian Happ have combined for 58 hits and 30 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Vasquez has allowed 11 hits and 5 earned runs through 7.2 innings, and this will be his eighth career start. Vasquez has 38 strikeouts and 21 walks for his career through 45.1 innings. This will be Vasquez’s first career game against the Chicago Cubs.

Shota Imanaga gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 5-0 with a 0.78 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Imanaga has allowed 3 earned runs through 34.2 innings and has walked just 4 batters. Imanaga is currently the NL Rookie of the Year betting favorite at many books. This will be Imanaga’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga Record this season: 5-0 ERA: 0.78
  • The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost each of their last five games against the Cubs following a win.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Cubs following a win.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against the Padres at Wrigley Field.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against the Padres at Wrigley Field.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 5.87
  • The Padres have won each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
  • The Cubs have lost five of their last six night games against the Padres at Wrigley Field following a loss.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Padres’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Cubs’ last six home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight night games between the Padres and Cubs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Prediction

As Ive said in past write-ups, Shota Imanaga has so far lived up to that big contract, and he’s not a pitcher I’m excited to bet against. The jury is still out on Randy Vasquez, who has a small sample size and a serious control issue. Imanaga has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, is favored to win NL ROY, and has positioned himself to be a sneaky NL MVP candidate in terms of odds. These prices are still way too soft on Imanaga. Give me the Cubs and the cheap price in game 2 against the Brewers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs -135

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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