Atlanta Braves (19-10) vs. Miami Marlins (16-13)
May 2, 2023 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -125 / Atlanta Braves +105; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from LoanDepot Park on Tuesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Miami is a -125 home favorite while Atlanta is a +105 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Bryce Elder will start for Atlanta here and is 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. Sandy Alcantara will start for Miami here and is 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Miami’s 5-4 win back on April 27th, 2023, snapped Atlanta’s three-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Atlanta is 10-1 in their last 11 road games and 98-46 in their last 144 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a right-handed starter. Miami is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall and 16-36 in their last 52 division games while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games overall.
Pick
I’m sticking with the over here. I like Alcantara, but he hasn’t looked like his Cy Young winning self from 2022 early on this year, and even when he had a decent outing against the Braves earlier this year, the bullpen let him down and we still went over the number. Bryce Elder’s been a nice #4 or #5 in the Braves’ rotation, but he got pummeled by the Marlins in his last start against them and I think we’re headed for 9 runs here. Give me the over.
