Milwaukee Brewers (49-39) vs. Miami Marlins (39-47)
July 5, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 123 / Milwaukee Brewers -149; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 5, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (49-39, 22-22 Away) won three series in a row after beating the Minnesota Twins (sweep), Pittsburgh Pirates, and Colorado Rockies. They did lose to the New York Mets, but opened the current series against the Marlins with a 6-5 victory on Friday. Joey Ortiz led the offense with two RBI, while Quinn Priester pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs (four earned) on seven hits with four strikeouts and two walks. Aaron Ashby was credited with the win.
This season, the Brewers average 4.72 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .246/.322/.382 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 3.79 ERA (14th) and 1.28 WHIP (18th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .260 batting average, 17 home runs, and 61 RBI this season.
Chad Patrick will take the mound for the Brewers on Saturday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 3-7 record in 17 starts this year with a 3.51 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 89.2 innings.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins (39-47, 19-26 Home) were on an eight-game winning streak, defeating the likes of the San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks (both sweeps), and Minnesota Twins along the way. The Marlins fell short 6-5 in Game 1 of this series against Milwaukee. Otto Lopez led the offense with three RBI, while Sandy Alcantara pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on five hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Cade Gibson took the loss.
This year, the Marlins average 4.24 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .254/.316/.391 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 4.76 ERA (25th) and 1.35 WHIP (23rd). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .282 batting average, 15 home runs, and 45 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Marlins is Cal Quantrill, who is 3-7 in 16 starts this season, with a 5.42 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 73.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 17 of the Brewers’ last 18 Saturday day games against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank T5th in the league for triples this season (15).
- The Marlins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.76).
- The Brewers rank 24th in the league for doubles this season (127).
- The Brewers rank 8th in the league for runs scored this season (415).
Marlins vs Brewers Prediction
The Marlins won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Brewers were better in the last two. Only one of the past six H2Hs went Under (one Push), and I am backing Over in this one mainly because of the starters. Chad Patrick didn’t have the best of June, during which he registered a 4.85 ERA, and although he shut the Rockies out in his last start, he did allow 13 runs in three starts before that. Cal Quantrill, on the other hand, surrendered multiple runs in six consecutive starts, and I am sure the Brewers will score 3+ off of him early on here. Go with Over.
